Editor's Review

A new report by TIFA Research has revealed that President William Ruto and Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna are joint presidential front-runners ahead of the 2027 General Election. 

A new report by TIFA Research has revealed that President William Ruto and Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna are joint presidential front-runners ahead of the 2027 General Election. 

In the report released on Thursday, November 12, TIFA said the two leaders have a popularity rating of 31 per cent each. 

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According to the report, President Ruto’s support has steadily increased from 18 per cent in August 2022 to 31 per cent in November 2026.

Sifuna, on the other hand, has recorded a significant rise in support, moving from no measurable support between 2022 and 2025 to 31 per cent in the latest survey.

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File image of the TIFA survey report. 

Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka’s support has declined from 13 per cent in June 2026 to 9 per cent in November 2026. 

Jubilee Party Leader Fred Matiang’i and DCP leader Rigathi Gachagua’s support has also declined from 14 per cent to 5 per cent and 7 per cent to four per cent, respectively. 

Kiharu lawmaker Ndindi Nyoro has also emerged in the presidential race with 1 percent support. 

TIFA also mentioned that 15 percent of Kenyans remain undecided on their preferred presidential aspirant. 

However, the parentage fell from 20 percent in June 2026 to 15 percent in November 2026. 

The TIFA survey also placed the ruling United Democratic Alliance (UDA) as the most supported political party in the country, with 25 per cent backing.

Linda Mwananchi is the second most supported party with 17 per cent, followed by ODM with 10 per cent. 

“UDA has strengthened its position, rising from 17% in June to 25% in November 2026, while ODM has declined sharply from 20% to 10%. Linda Mwananchi/TEP emerges with 17% support, ahead of ODM,” TIFA stated. 

Gachagua’s DCP party has 9 per cent support, while Wiper and Jubilee have 5 per cent and 4 per cent support, respectively. 

The report further highlighted that 28 of Kenyans remain undecided about their preferred political party ahead of the 2027 election.