The Mbeere North by-election has erupted into one of the most fiercely contested political battles in recent Mt. Kenya history, as the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) and the Democratic Party (DP) have descended on the constituency with competing forces and clashing ambitions.
What was expected to be a routine vote transformed into a high-voltage ground war, drawing in heavyweight figures, exposing simmering rivalries, and turning Mbeere North into the latest stage for Mt Kenya’s shifting political power play.
At the centre of the race were nine cleared candidates, but the contest effectively narrowed to two men: Leonard “Leo wa Muthende” Muriuki of UDA and Newton “Karish” Kariuki of DP. Their rivalry not only defined the by‑election but also pointed to a broader political confrontation stretching far beyond Embu County.
Muriuki, backed by UDA, entered the race with the full weight of the ruling coalition behind him. Deputy President Kithure Kindiki, a leading figure in Kenya Kwanza, pitched camp in the constituency, visiting various wards to marshal support.
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In public rallies, Kindiki emphasised continuity, arguing that Muriuki would help complete development projects already underway, such as roads, electricity, water systems, and market improvements.
Karish, on the other hand, brought both political experience and local appeal. A three-term MCA in Muminji Ward and a well-known musician, who is deeply connected to his community.
His campaign enjoys the backing of former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua, whose personal involvement has elevated the stakes of the by‑election.
Gachagua has held door‑to‑door meetings, walked through farms during early mornings, and framed the contest as a battle against “state overreach” and political intimidation.
The face-off between Kindiki and Gachagua has charged the campaign environment. Their competing visits, contrasting speeches, and frequent jabs have created a tense campaign season. Kindiki has publicly downplayed Gachagua’s influence, while Gachagua has accused the government of orchestrating intimidation and insecurity ahead of polling.
The rivalry has also spilt into mind games. Reports claimed that Gachagua visited CS Geoffrey Ruku’s grandmother’s home, but Ruku dismissed them, saying both his parents and grandmother had long passed and calling the story misleading.
Issues of security and alleged intimidation have also dominated the campaigns. Gachagua wrote to Inspector General of Police Douglas Kanja, alleging that certain individuals were threatening his supporters and disrupting his campaign. In response, UDA Secretary-General Hassan Omar dismissed the claims, calling them “baseless” and politically motivated.
Beyond the personalities, the by‑election carries strategic weight. It is the first major Mt Kenya electoral contest since Gachagua’s impeachment, a fact that analysts say seemingly turns it into a symbolic test of where the region stands politically.
Some argue that a win for UDA could indicate continued dominance of President William Ruto’s coalition in a region long viewed as its stronghold. Conversely, a Karish victory, backed by Gachagua, could signal that the former DP still holds significant grassroots influence.
As the by‑election approaches, Mbeere North becomes the focus of an intense political contest with implications for Mt Kenya.
Analysts note that the result could influence alliances, alter perceptions of regional strength, and provide insight into Mt Kenya’s alignment ahead of the 2027 general election.
